The SCAM project: Simplicity, Compexity and Modelling

SCAM is an Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) funded project whose aims are to share understanding across scientific disciplines regarding approaches used to modelling complex phenomena. In particular it addresses three issues. First, given that data are finite what is the appropriate balance between simplicity and complexity required in modelling complex data? Second, where more than one plausible candidate model is used, how should forecasts be combined? Third, where model uncertainty exists, how should this uncertainty be propagated into predictions?

The hope is that the SCAM project will enable scientific modellers with different backgrounds and with different fields of application to learn from each other.

Update November 2011

The book of the project has now published. For further details see here:

Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling

The SCAM team

NameResearch InterestsInstitutionemailHomepage
Peter ChallenorClimatology,ocean circulationNational Oceanography
Mike ChristieReservoir engineeringHeriot-Watt
Andrew CliffeFluid mechanics & nuclear waste disposalUniversity of
Philip DawidBayesian statistics, DNA profilingCambridge University
Suraje DessaiClimate modellingUniversity of
Jim HallFlood risk and coastal erosionUniversity of Newcastle upon
Zoran KapelanWater engineeringUniversity of
Jeremy OakleyHealth economicsUniversity of
Stephen SennStatistics and drug developmentUniversity of Glasgow*

* Now at Competence Centre for Methodology and Statistics, CRP-Sante, 1ab rue Thomas Edison, 1445 Strassen, Luxembourg,

Initial project presentation, Shrigley Hall, 27 January 2006

SCAM Plone site

This webpage maintained by Stephen Senn and last updated 26 November 2011

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